Reply to Re: Why Maths Doesn't Help
If you don't have an account, just leave the password field blank.
Of course, we can never get it right on the person, but give or take a few hundred million, we can come very close.
A few hundred million!
A few hundred million isn't what I'd call "close". It's too large a number to be "close".
[i]Mathematicians make several models for population growth. Cases in which people get more children, less children, and some other variants. For this, they use the data of the past 100 years or so, and for the next 10 years the graphs of these models are almost the same. Given the data for the next 10 years, they can see which of the original models comes closest, and base new models around that. Again, a minimum variant, a maximum variant, and some in between.
As I said, luck.
A few hundred million!
A few hundred million isn't what I'd call "close". It's too large a number to be "close".[i]Mathematicians make several models for population growth. Cases in which people get more children, less children, and some other variants. For this, they use the data of the past 100 years or so, and for the next 10 years the graphs of these models are almost the same. Given the data for the next 10 years, they can see which of the original models comes closest, and base new models around that. Again, a minimum variant, a maximum variant, and some in between.
As I said, luck.
